Why:Whether you love or hate the balloons and big neon letters rolling around the stage, you remember them. These (marked in boldface) are my best guesses of whowillwin, not my preferences. David Cullen - Company. "Paradise Square" may just surprise, though. Nevertheless, here I am with prognostications and preferences for the Tony Awards that will be given out on June 12. By entering your email address you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy and consent to receive emails from Time Out about news, events, offers and partner promotions. 3. Things you buy through our links may earnVox Mediaa commission. 2022 Tony Awards predictions by show: Company, A Strange Loop - GoldDerby IK: It's not always easy to make a flawed character heart-rending, but Sharon D Clarke is a marvel, tearing at your emotions from all sides. Simon Hale, "Girl From The North Country", Jason Michael Webb and David Holcenberg, "MJ". Always remember to keep your predictions updated because they impact our latest racetrack odds, which terrify Hollywood chiefs and stars. Matt Doyle (Company) 4/1 Weadmit to a certain amount of wishful thinking in that regard: O'Connell gave the single most memorable performance of the season, bar none. This story first ran inStage Whisperer, Vultures theater newsletter. (Sorry, A wide range of strong offerings this year makes this category one of the year's hardest to predict. (Even if MJ misses best musical, the dance-heavy show is near certain to take the choreography award for Christopher Wheeldon.) Following an 18-month shutdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Broadway came storming back. The race:A wide range of strong offerings this year makes this category one of the year's hardest to predict. Jeannette Bayardelle (Girl From the North Country) 21/2, BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL) Brown's reimagination of Ntozake Shange's 1976 choreopoemfor colored girlsgot the most love from the nominators, and would give voters a chance to honor Blackplays in a season in which they figured prominently. In addition to the obvious frontrunner, which four shows will round out the new musical category? Saturday NightParadise SquareSix: The MusicalA Strange Loop, Why:I feel a little bad forSix, which could have won had the 201920 season gone according to plan, but up against the much-lauded, already Pulitzer-winningA Strange Loop, the Tudor queens and their producers will have to console themselves with Scrooge McDuckstyle swimming pools full of box-office earnings. Make your predictionsat Gold Derby now. He not only starred in "Lackawanna Blues," but wrote and directed it. Click the photo above to watch the video. But we also think that the Tonys' new voter-portal set-upwhich (theoretically) only allows votes from people who have seen all five performancesworks to O'Connell's advantage; in previous seasons, the shortness of, He's up againsttwo of his costars, including one fellow Jesse, but the delightful Jesse Tyler Ferguson has, Marianne Elliott has already won three Tonys since 2011. PREDICT the 2022 Tony Awards nominees now through May 3 Make your predictions at Gold Derby now. On the other hand, the chances for surprise are slim in the race for featured actress in a musical: The win looks sure to go to Patti LuPone, the iconic Broadway star making her mark on the iconic Company tune, Ladies Who Lunch. Her co-star, Matt Doyle, is most frequently mentioned as the choice for featured actor in a musical, although Jared Grimes (Funny Girl) and John-Andrew Morrison (Strange Loop) also got voters attention. Sam Rockwell (American Buffalo) 21/2 Read Next: How the Blindspotting Team Addresses Race Through Dance, Tony Predictions: Best Play Revival Fewer Candidates But a Surprisingly Competitive Race, Tony Predictions: Best Play Tom Stoppard, Pulitzer and Olivier Winners Vie for Five Spots, Tony Predictions: Best Musical Revival Encores! RECOMMENDED:How to watch the 2022 Tony Awards, BEST MUSICALGirl from the North CountryMJMr. I think Ruth Negga wins out on Tony night. The pool of people who vote for the Tony Awards is a small one and this year, its probably even smaller. Robert Hofler June 9, 2022 @ 7:05 AM. Tony Awards 2022: Who Will Win (and Who Should) Girl From the North Country 7/1 Gold Derby editors and Experts Christopher Rosen and Joyce Eng debate the big category switch by Kieran Culkin (Succession), who is now competing for Best Drama Actor. Regardless of its moral unease,MJis so dazzlingly dance-forward, it seems like the favorite and this gives the voters a chance to recognize it somewhere because its unlikely to win anything else. BC: If this were the MTV Awards, I'd give it to "Six." BC: This comes down to "Company" and "A Strange Loop." SIX 9/2 But whether such a trend materializes not to mention whether a road bloc with monolithic taste even exists remains up in the air. Tony Gilroy's . Phylicia Rashad is achingly beautiful and such a nuanced performer, Rachel Dratch and Julie White are masters of their trade, and Kenita R. Miller gave a heart-stopping performance while more than 8 monthspregnant. Even before the season officially ended, the category for new musical the one award that consistently moves the needle at the box office had a clear leader. [POLL]. IK:Camille A. The 75th annual Tony Awards will be hosted byAriana DeBose and take place from 8 to 11 p.m. Eastern on Sunday, June 12, at Radio City Music Hall in New York City. Sure, there will be five performers on the list up for lead actress in a musical, but right now, the contest looks like its between Sharon D. Clarke, for her volcanic turn in the title role of Caroline, or Change, and Joaquina Kalukango, who earned career-making raves even from the critics who gave her show, Paradise Square, a big thumbs-down. As an American actor in a show thats still currently running, Kalukango could have a slight edge. BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICALBilly Crystal,Mr. Saturday Night|Myles Frost,MJHugh Jackman,The Music ManRob McClure,Mrs. DoubtfireJaquel Spivey,A Strange Loop. How all that shifts voting trends, however, is tough to calculate. BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAYAmerican Buffalofor colored girls who have considered suicide / when the rainbow is enufHow I Learned to DriveTake Me OutTrouble in Mind. IK: A master class not to say that any of these other performances are shabby. Beowulf Boritt and 59 Productions, "Flying Over Sunset". 2023 Vox Media, LLC. Download our free and easy app for Apple/iPhone devices or Android (Google Play) to compete. 2022 Tony Awards Predictions- Page 2 - broadwayworld.com Among featured performer categories (which also include several castmates competing against each other), Uzo Aduba (Clydes) is the name that most often comes up for actress and Ferguson (Take Me Out) is the one that edges ahead for actor. Spivey is the frontrunner, but he has missed a number of performances in the pastfew weeks, whichcould tip the scale against him. But "Lehman Trilogy" probably wins. BC: Ruth Negga stands alone, with LaChanze coming in second. The nominators leaned toward director Marianne Elliott's acclaimed, gender-swapped revival of Stephen Sondheim and George Furth's groundbreaking Company,and so will voters. I loved it when the play about a superstar baseball player who comes out as gay had its original run in 2003. We already have this email. The Tony Awards eligibility cutoff date for the 2022-23 season is April 27, 2023, for all Broadway . for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf, Justin EllingtonDana H., Mikhail FikselThe Skin of Our Teeth, Palmer HefferanThe Lehman Trilogy, Nick Powell and Dominic BilkeyMacbeth, Mikaal Sulaiman. Odds are still on Devlin, but this will be close. You could make an argument for just about every show. The race:A very tight race. The Obama-Springsteen friendship continues on. That said, this is deservedly a tough race. Sharon D Clarke (Caroline, or Change) 9/2 5 min read Last year, Jeremy O. Harris' "Slave Play" ended up winning not one of its 12 nominations, a record for any play in the history of Tony Awards. Mary-Louise Parker, "How I Learned to Drive". Good for them (and us!). But even ifCompanys reviews werent much better thanThe Music Mans, it has the Sondheim nostalgia to nudge it ahead in the minds of voters. The self-described "big,Black,queer-ass Americanmusical won a 2022 Pulitzer Prize, and it's telling a story the theater industry and wider world needs to hear. With the Tony Awards nominations being announced this week, so begins the season of predicting who will be taking home the coveted awards on June 12th. The ceremony itself will be held at Radio City Music Hall in New York on June 12. BC: I'll give this one to Michael R. Jackson. The Music Man 69/20 Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical, Sharon D Clarke,Caroline, or ChangeCarmen Cusack,Flying Over SunsetSutton Foster,The Music ManJoaquina Kalukango,Paradise SquareMare Winningham,Girl From the North Country. There weretears. Thats likely to pull in enough votes to get Company over the top. Jayne Houdyshell (The Music Man) 8/1 Company 15/8 Uzo Aduba (Clydes) 5/1 MUSICALS BEST MUSICAL A Strange. With nine nominations, nearly twice as many as any other new play. SIX 11/2 Lead actress, meanwhile, is one of the toughest categories to call. IK: Ooof, yes. But Beale, Godley and Rockwell all have a fighting chance. Justin Ellington, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Nick Powell and Dominic Bilkey, "The Lehman Trilogy". I love first previews, and am very grateful to have been in the house when the show resumed performances in November with Stephen Sondheim in attendance. Companyhas a strong slate this year too, howeverand this could be the one category in which voters show some love to the Bob Dylan musicalGirl from the North Country. The 75th Annual Tony Awards is set to be held on June 12, 2022, to recognize achievement in Broadway productions during the 2021-22 season. Tony Awards Predictions 2022: Who Will Win - TheWrap Both Caroline, or Change and Company, hailed by critics and popular with fans, are locks, which leaves the Jackman-Foster led Music Man and the recently opened revival of Funny Girl starring the much-hyped Beanie Feldstein. 2022 Tony Nominations Preview and Predictions: The Musicals - AwardsWatch SIX 11/2 ), it still seems one of them is destined to win. Sign up to unlock our digital magazines and also receive the latest news, events, offers and partner promotions. Read More. But reviewerswerent universally enthusiasticabout the show, so I wouldnt be fully surprised by an upset fromThe Minutes, which has the advantage of a twist ending that (forbetter or worse) has kept audiences talking, or the deftly constructed and actedSkeleton Crew. "Hangmen" won the 2016 Olivier Award for Best Play, but it was probably my least favorite of the group. IK:I can confirm that Bill hated "How I Learned to Drive," but sitting two seats away from him, I did not have the same experience. Flying Over Sunset 11/2 Jiyoun Chang, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Jane Cox, Macbeth Yi Zhao, "The Skin of Our Teeth". Variety and the Flying V logos are trademarks of Variety Media, LLC. Saturday Night) and Hugh Jackman (Music Man), the real contenders for the lead actor trophy are two tyros: Jaquel Spivey (A Strange Loop) and Myles Frost (MJ). How I Learned to Drive 5/1 With dynamite reviews and a Pulitzer Prize to its credit, A Strange Loopis the favorite, and it's also the kind of small,dark show that the Tonys have tended to reward in recent years. Originally scheduled to be released this week, the announcement has been postponed to Monday, May. BC: It's interesting that "Trouble in Mind" is nominated for Best Revival. Deadline Media, Get our free, urgent prediction updates and news, American Society of Cinematographers Awards 2023, Emmy Noms Predictions Odds: All Star Users, Leaderboards: See All Past Prediction Accuracy Scores, Leaderboards: Best Prediction Accuracy Scores for Film, TV and Music Awards, Leaderboards: Best TV Show Predictions by Gold Derby Users, Find a User or Expert / Download Gold Derbys Free, New App, Watch our video interviews with top awards contenders: directors, producers, below-the-line artisans and , Watch our lively predictions slugfests with Experts and Editors, the 2022 Tony Awards nominees now through May 9, Jessica Chastain and Michael Shannon (George and Tammy), Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus: Sicily), Vera Farmiga and Cherry Jones (Five Days at Memorial), 'American Idol' Top 20: Who gave the best performance? Why:If theres a contingent of boomer voters who love Dylan (and it feels like there is), this could be the place they make themselves heard. Chances are that Michael R. Jacksons Pulitzer-winner will take home Tony nights top prize, too. I dont know if Tony voters will necessarily vote forSixbased on that, but I do think that Makes big choices, feels like a pop concert! BC: This is a tough one, but let's start with a quick review: "Clyde's" is aboutsandwich creators in a truck stop run by a vicious owner;"Hangmen" takes place inabar owned by a former British executioner; "The Lehman Trilogy" is a nearly two-century look at a family and an institution thatplayed a major part in bringing the global economy to its knees; "The Minutes" shows us whathappens during a small town council meeting; and 'Skeleton Crew" is set at an automotive factory on the brink of foreclosure. But competition is fierce, with both How I Learned to Drive and Trouble in Mind also commanding respect as outstanding productions of shows getting long-overdue Broadway spotlights. Best bets are Broadways other Michael Jackson musical, MJ, the dance-heavy production that will probably make the list for sheer showmanship (and despite some critics reservations), and Mr. Probably. Company, Neil AustinSix: The Musical, Tim DeilingParadise Square, Donald HolderMJ, Natasha KatzFlying Over Sunset, Bradley KingA Strange Loop, Jen Schriever. Girl From the North Country, Simon BakerSix: The Musical, Paul GatehouseCompany, Ian Dickinson for AutographA Strange Loop, Drew LevyMJ, Gareth Owen. At times. Musical. Tom Curran - Six Clydes, Lynn NottageHangmen, Martin McDonaghThe Lehman Trilogy, Stefano Massini and Ben PowerThe Minutes, Tracy LettsSkeleton Crew, Dominique Morisseau. Privacy Policy and BEST SCOREJason Robert Brown and Amanda Green,Mr. Saturday NightJason Howland, Nathan Tysen and Masi Asare,Paradise SquareMichael R. Jackson,A Strange LoopTom Kitt and Michael Korie,Flying Over SunsetToby Marlow and Lucy Moss,Six. 2. Why:To quoteGypsy, youve gotta have a gimmick, whether youre filling every corner of the stage with junk (as inAmerican Buffalo),a full seaside boardwalk (as inThe Skin of Our Teeth), or the details of a factory break room (as inSkeleton Crew), or making it spin (as withPOTUSandThe Lehman Trilogy). Daniel Craig (Macbeth) 13/1, BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (PLAY) I honestly don't think I'd be too surprised by a win for any of these folks but for Bill to say fun, it takes a lot. ), BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICALStephen Brackett,A Strange LoopMarianne Elliott,CompanyConor McPherson,Girl from the North CountryLucy Moss and Jamie Armitage,SixChristopher Wheeldon,MJ. Among the non-musicals, both lead actor and lead actress are toss-ups. Predicting the 2022 Tony Awards nominations Tony Award predictions: What shows and actors will win? Here's what we Review:Just 'Beat It': 'MJ The Musical' on Broadway is full of hits, Review:Crowning achievement: Royalty rules in 'Six' on Broadway. Crystal, too, looks like a shoo-in, and so does Patti LuPone (Company). BC: "A Strange Loop" will likely win, but I am tempted to give this oneto Derek McLane and Peter Nigrini. With all that in mind, and based on a highly unscientific combination of polling, gossip and instinct, here are seven predictions for the night's biggest awards. I think recency bias will lend an edge, though, andTake Me Outandfor colored girlsboth had great reviews late in the season, followed by the whole feel-good campaign to extendfor colored girls run. But Second Stage's excellent revival ofTake Me Outhas benefitted from a lot of free publicity in recent weeks, thanks to unauthorized photos of its baseball-playing characters' equipment. Thats too many shows for too few slots. Joaquina Kalukango (Paradise Square) 15/2 The concerteffects of, Best Lighting often amounts to Most Lighting. Montana Levi Blanco, "The Skin of Our Teeth", Sarafina Bush, "for colored girls who have considered suicide/when the rainbow is enuf", Jane Greenwood, "Neil Simon's Plaza Suite", IK:Three acts meant three different time periods for two of these plays, interestingly enough, but the stronger of those was "The Skin of Our Teeth.". Even though this production did not work for me, the late Stephen Sondheim deserves it. Hes in whats really more of a lead role, and heresponded to a truly malicious video leakwith a commitment to the need for respect in the theater, earning him props among Broadway folk. I mean, have you seen all of the pointed details of the "POTUS" set? 2023 Variety Media, LLC. And trust me, I don't often say that easily. Download our free and easy app forApple/iPhone devicesorAndroid (Google Play)to compete against legions of other fans plus our experts and editors for best prediction accuracy scores. The Will Win category simply lists my predictions in a hard-to-predict year . There were triumphs. The awards will be presented live coast-to-coast from Radio City Music Hall in New York. Rob McClure (Mrs. Of the three, Simon Russell Beale gets my vote. "Paradise Square" has some big numbers and a few strong performances but it also has some major flaws. Among the other possible nominees, Foster (Music Man), Feldstein (Funny Girl) and Katrina Lenk (Company) are all in the mix, although given the mixed response to all three, one or maybe even two of those names could be left off the list. The race:Although everyone loves Hugh Jackman, there's not much excitement over his all-too-untroubled turn in The Music Man.
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